Prediction market odds on What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
$14 402 845 is riding on this question. «reach $2,500» leads at 100 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| reach $2,500 | 100 % | 86 334 |
| reach $2,250 | 100 % | 648 075 |
| reach $2,000 | 100 % | 160 809 |
| reach $1,750 | 100 % | 257 |
| reach $1,750 | 100 % | 3 172 |
| dip to $2,500 | 100 % | 372 367 |
| dip to $2,000 | 100 % | 182 716 |
| dip to $2,250 | 69 % | 479 262 |
| reach $2,750 | 64 % | 94 431 |
| reach $3,000 | 43.5 % | 134 300 |
| dip to $2,000 | 39.5 % | 284 617 |
| dip to $1,750 | 22.5 % | 525 078 |
| reach $3,500 | 22.5 % | 683 607 |
| dip to $1,500 | 16.2 % | 2 671 273 |
| reach $4,000 | 13 % | 411 335 |
| reach $4,500 | 8.5 % | 356 302 |
| dip to $1,250 | 8 % | 568 604 |
| dip to $1,000 | 5.5 % | 2 050 362 |
| reach $5,000 | 5.2 % | 481 464 |
| reach $5,500 | 4.3 % | 284 774 |
| reach $6,000 | 3.5 % | 330 024 |
| dip to $800 | 3.5 % | 1 645 762 |
| reach $6,500 | 3.4 % | 235 988 |
| dip to $700 | 2.3 % | 10 196 |
| reach $7,500 | 2.1 % | 250 228 |
| dip to $600 | 2.1 % | 400 |
| dip to $500 | 1.8 % | 103 167 |
| reach $7,000 | 1.8 % | 209 832 |
| reach $8,000 | 1.8 % | 312 688 |
| reach $10,000 | 1.5 % | 825 421 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «reach $2,500» leads at 100 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 30 outcomes and only 6 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $14 402 845 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-01-01. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?
Quoted from the market rules on polymarket.com.
If this changes what you plan to do, check the platform's own conditions first — they vary far more than the rules do.
Look at Dexsport