Prediction market odds on What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
$13 870 297 is riding on this question. «reach $85,000» leads at 100 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| reach $85,000 | 100 % | 1 086 507 |
| reach $82,500 | 100 % | 837 728 |
| reach $80,000 | 100 % | 78 512 |
| dip to $77,500 | 100 % | 8 511 |
| dip to $75,000 | 100 % | 454 602 |
| reach $77,500 | 100 % | 0 |
| dip to $80,000 | 100 % | 18 113 |
| dip to $77,500 | 100 % | 226 019 |
| reach $80,000 | 100 % | 36 751 |
| reach $80,000 | 100 % | 2 690 |
| reach $80,000 | 100 % | 488 467 |
| reach $77,500 | 100 % | 0 |
| dip to $77,500 | 100 % | 0 |
| reach $77,500 | 100 % | 65 586 |
| dip to $77,500 | 100 % | 4 053 |
| reach $77,500 | 100 % | 72 084 |
| dip to $85,000 | 100 % | 165 260 |
| reach $85,000 | 82 % | 66 078 |
| dip to $82,500 | 57.5 % | 122 231 |
| reach $87,500 | 32.5 % | 928 224 |
| dip to $80,000 | 18.9 % | 260 616 |
| reach $90,000 | 13.3 % | 927 106 |
| dip to $77,500 | 6.5 % | 133 610 |
| reach $92,500 | 5 % | 360 870 |
| dip to $75,000 | 3.4 % | 252 298 |
| reach $95,000 | 2.4 % | 643 820 |
| dip to $72,500 | 1.7 % | 590 275 |
| reach $97,500 | 1.5 % | 474 217 |
| dip to $70,000 | 1.4 % | 691 601 |
| reach $100,000 | 0.9 % | 1 359 717 |
| dip to $67,500 | 0.9 % | 364 952 |
| dip to $65,000 | 0.4 % | 750 510 |
| dip to $62,500 | 0.4 % | 371 275 |
| dip to $60,000 | 0.4 % | 467 326 |
| dip to $57,500 | 0.1 % | 525 862 |
| dip to $55,000 | 0.1 % | 1 034 825 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «reach $85,000» leads at 100 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 36 outcomes and only 14 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $13 870 297 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-10-01. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Quoted from the market rules.
If this changes what you plan to do, check the platform's own conditions first — they vary far more than the rules do.
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