Prediction market odds on What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$70 200 750 is riding on this question. «dip to $60,000» leads at 100 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| dip to $60,000 | 100 % | 137 448 |
| reach $85,000 | 100 % | 921 124 |
| reach $80,000 | 100 % | 680 074 |
| reach $75,000 | 100 % | 257 794 |
| reach $70,000 | 100 % | 274 122 |
| reach $65,000 | 100 % | 15 174 |
| reach $65,000 | 100 % | 41 695 |
| dip to $75,000 | 100 % | 279 485 |
| reach $90,000 | 100 % | 23 189 |
| dip to $85,000 | 100 % | 12 392 |
| dip to $75,000 | 100 % | 1 115 326 |
| dip to $65,000 | 100 % | 1 535 035 |
| dip to $60,000 | 100 % | 43 881 |
| reach $70,000 | 100 % | 44 087 |
| reach $75,000 | 100 % | 0 |
| reach $80,000 | 100 % | 775 604 |
| reach $90,000 | 70.5 % | 2 091 563 |
| reach $95,000 | 52.5 % | 722 975 |
| reach $100,000 | 38.5 % | 3 485 890 |
| dip to $70,000 | 31 % | 553 218 |
| reach $110,000 | 18.5 % | 1 822 475 |
| dip to $65,000 | 18 % | 308 187 |
| dip to $60,000 | 14.5 % | 966 950 |
| reach $120,000 | 10.5 % | 1 990 352 |
| dip to $55,000 | 10.5 % | 6 318 274 |
| dip to $50,000 | 7.5 % | 3 951 064 |
| reach $130,000 | 7.4 % | 1 640 125 |
| dip to $45,000 | 4.8 % | 8 029 478 |
| reach $140,000 | 4.5 % | 1 185 236 |
| dip to $40,000 | 3.9 % | 2 467 321 |
| reach $150,000 | 3.5 % | 1 202 089 |
| reach $160,000 | 2.9 % | 672 324 |
| dip to $35,000 | 2.6 % | 3 369 238 |
| dip to $30,000 | 2.5 % | 875 529 |
| dip to $15,000 | 1.8 % | 4 983 492 |
| reach $190,000 | 1.8 % | 770 311 |
| dip to $25,000 | 1.8 % | 1 336 326 |
| reach $170,000 | 1.7 % | 468 714 |
| dip to $20,000 | 1.7 % | 618 518 |
| reach $180,000 | 1.7 % | 543 355 |
| reach $200,000 | 1.5 % | 2 072 348 |
| reach $250,000 | 0.7 % | 5 491 480 |
| dip to $5,000 | 0.7 % | 807 449 |
| dip to $10,000 | 0.5 % | 876 906 |
| reach $500,000 | 0.5 % | 1 605 139 |
| reach $1,000,000 | 0.3 % | 2 817 993 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «dip to $60,000» leads at 100 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 46 outcomes and only 2 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $70 200 750 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-01-01. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?
Quoted from the market rules.
Rules are one half of the picture and terms are the other. Look at what a platform charges before you move any money.
Look at Dexsport