Prediction market odds on UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
$34 219 198 is riding on this question. «another team» leads at 50 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| another team | 50 % | 0 |
| Team H | 50 % | 0 |
| Team I | 50 % | 0 |
| Team J | 50 % | 0 |
| Team K | 50 % | 0 |
| Team L | 50 % | 0 |
| Barcelona | 19.5 % | 900 495 |
| Bayern Munich | 15.5 % | 441 529 |
| Arsenal | 14.5 % | 490 274 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 12.5 % | 406 323 |
| Real Madrid | 12.5 % | 678 748 |
| Manchester City | 8.5 % | 402 312 |
| Liverpool | 4.5 % | 361 905 |
| Inter Milan | 2.9 % | 635 973 |
| Manchester United | 2.5 % | 513 567 |
| Atlético Madrid | 1.7 % | 518 502 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.4 % | 677 020 |
| Como | 1.1 % | 466 427 |
| Aston Villa | 1.1 % | 414 474 |
| Roma | 0.7 % | 455 312 |
| Real Betis | 0.7 % | 632 506 |
| Napoli | 0.5 % | 526 554 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.4 % | 546 082 |
| Sporting CP | 0.4 % | 479 580 |
| Villarreal | 0.4 % | 540 789 |
| RB Leipzig | 0.4 % | 558 443 |
| Porto | 0.4 % | 539 421 |
| Lens | 0.3 % | 713 814 |
| Lille | 0.2 % | 484 733 |
| Galatasaray | 0.2 % | 435 858 |
| Fenerbahçe | 0.2 % | 333 417 |
| Bodø/Glimt | 0.2 % | 419 896 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 0.1 % | 417 515 |
| Feyenoord | 0.1 % | 436 184 |
| Club Brugge | 0.1 % | 321 280 |
| Slavia Prague | 0.1 % | 286 320 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.1 % | 18 280 897 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 0.1 % | 172 123 |
| AEK Athens | 0.1 % | 172 794 |
| LASK | 0.1 % | 170 381 |
| Viking | 0.1 % | 219 385 |
| Sabah | 0.1 % | 168 366 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «another team» leads at 50 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 42 outcomes and only 0 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $34 219 198 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-05-30. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules on polymarket.com.
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