Prediction market odds on UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
$39 525 667 is riding on this question. «another team» leads at 50 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| another team | 50 % | 0 |
| Team H | 50 % | 0 |
| Team I | 50 % | 0 |
| Team J | 50 % | 0 |
| Team K | 50 % | 0 |
| Team L | 50 % | 0 |
| Barcelona | 22.5 % | 1 215 706 |
| Bayern Munich | 14.5 % | 484 098 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 13.5 % | 501 522 |
| Arsenal | 13.5 % | 561 698 |
| Real Madrid | 11.5 % | 712 790 |
| Manchester City | 8.5 % | 414 374 |
| Liverpool | 4.5 % | 369 071 |
| Inter Milan | 2.8 % | 713 700 |
| Manchester United | 2.4 % | 531 867 |
| Atlético Madrid | 1.7 % | 589 064 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 1.2 % | 693 845 |
| Como | 1.1 % | 532 551 |
| Aston Villa | 0.9 % | 448 146 |
| Real Betis | 0.7 % | 642 106 |
| Napoli | 0.5 % | 563 107 |
| Roma | 0.5 % | 504 762 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.4 % | 550 621 |
| Sporting CP | 0.4 % | 540 541 |
| Villarreal | 0.4 % | 542 296 |
| RB Leipzig | 0.4 % | 558 880 |
| Lens | 0.4 % | 714 502 |
| Porto | 0.4 % | 590 221 |
| Lille | 0.2 % | 485 781 |
| Galatasaray | 0.2 % | 525 041 |
| Fenerbahçe | 0.2 % | 356 285 |
| Bodø/Glimt | 0.2 % | 423 560 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 0.1 % | 531 629 |
| Feyenoord | 0.1 % | 563 484 |
| Club Brugge | 0.1 % | 326 424 |
| Slavia Prague | 0.1 % | 291 844 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.1 % | 22 100 470 |
| Slovan Bratislava | 0.1 % | 180 558 |
| AEK Athens | 0.1 % | 182 599 |
| LASK | 0.1 % | 177 155 |
| Viking | 0.1 % | 224 819 |
| Sabah | 0.1 % | 180 551 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «another team» leads at 50 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 42 outcomes and only 0 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $39 525 667 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-06-20. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules.
Read this alongside the terms of whichever platform you use — those terms, not this page, decide what happens to your stake.
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