Prediction market odds on Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion
$6 360 985 is riding on this question. «Los Angeles Rams» leads at 18 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 18.5 % | 28 391 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 14 % | 14 785 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 11.5 % | 25 261 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11.1 % | 49 380 |
| Detroit Lions | 9.6 % | 130 788 |
| Chicago Bears | 7.5 % | 27 048 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 5.5 % | 921 600 |
| Green Bay Packers | 5.5 % | 46 861 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3.6 % | 1 900 359 |
| New York Giants | 3.2 % | 14 576 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2.6 % | 689 510 |
| Washington Commanders | 1.7 % | 160 331 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.3 % | 513 210 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.8 % | 672 361 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.5 % | 179 992 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.5 % | 986 534 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Los Angeles Rams» leads at 18 %, but the next outcome is only 4 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 16 outcomes and only 1 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $6 360 985 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-01-25. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules on polymarket.com.
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