Prediction market odds on Pro Football: 2027 Champion
$59 769 528 is riding on this question. «Buffalo Bills» leads at 12 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | 12.5 % | 1 053 429 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 12.5 % | 1 185 364 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8.5 % | 1 154 212 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 8.1 % | 1 510 964 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.6 % | 1 755 014 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6.5 % | 1 524 197 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 5.7 % | 1 698 603 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.5 % | 1 479 815 |
| Denver Broncos | 3.8 % | 1 742 409 |
| New England Patriots | 3.5 % | 976 760 |
| Detroit Lions | 3.5 % | 1 576 921 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3.1 % | 1 529 644 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2.9 % | 1 732 430 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.6 % | 1 364 846 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.4 % | 1 694 667 |
| Houston Texans | 2.4 % | 2 346 758 |
| Chicago Bears | 2.1 % | 1 626 119 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1.2 % | 5 330 078 |
| New Orleans Saints | 1.1 % | 2 035 333 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.9 % | 4 175 713 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.9 % | 1 911 845 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.7 % | 1 530 375 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 0.7 % | 4 311 491 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.5 % | 1 543 313 |
| New York Giants | 0.5 % | 1 380 893 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.5 % | 1 423 610 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.4 % | 1 481 371 |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.4 % | 1 718 722 |
| New York Jets | 0.4 % | 2 471 840 |
| Washington Commanders | 0.4 % | 1 296 338 |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.4 % | 1 503 632 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.4 % | 1 702 821 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Buffalo Bills» leads at 12 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 32 outcomes and only 6 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $59 769 528 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-04-01. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules.
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