Prediction market odds on Pro Football: 2027 Champion
$55 902 043 is riding on this question. «Los Angeles Rams» leads at 12 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 11.5 % | 1 098 071 |
| Buffalo Bills | 10.5 % | 928 428 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 8.8 % | 1 443 492 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7.8 % | 1 601 917 |
| Chicago Bears | 6.8 % | 1 463 682 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6.6 % | 1 365 231 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 6.5 % | 1 075 547 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4.2 % | 1 436 188 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 4.2 % | 1 404 303 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 4 % | 1 558 800 |
| Detroit Lions | 4 % | 1 515 743 |
| Houston Texans | 3.5 % | 2 213 865 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3.4 % | 1 656 034 |
| Denver Broncos | 3.1 % | 1 658 688 |
| New England Patriots | 3.1 % | 888 204 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2.6 % | 5 217 985 |
| Green Bay Packers | 2.5 % | 1 569 359 |
| New York Giants | 2.5 % | 1 245 229 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 2.1 % | 1 268 962 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.1 % | 1 377 910 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.1 % | 4 203 517 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 0.8 % | 1 401 989 |
| New Orleans Saints | 0.5 % | 1 870 665 |
| Washington Commanders | 0.5 % | 1 171 276 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 0.4 % | 1 384 746 |
| Carolina Panthers | 0.4 % | 4 026 615 |
| Cleveland Browns | 0.4 % | 1 404 937 |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.4 % | 1 616 851 |
| New York Jets | 0.4 % | 2 262 124 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 0.4 % | 1 248 316 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 0.4 % | 1 704 318 |
| Tennessee Titans | 0.4 % | 1 619 052 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Los Angeles Rams» leads at 12 %, but the next outcome is only 1 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 32 outcomes and only 6 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $55 902 043 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-02-14. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules on polymarket.com.
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