Prediction market odds on NBA: 2027 Champion
$22 328 342 is riding on this question. «Oklahoma City Thunder» leads at 20 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 20.5 % | 518 079 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 20.5 % | 688 613 |
| New York Knicks | 11.5 % | 732 213 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 11.2 % | 1 104 045 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 5.1 % | 718 190 |
| Boston Celtics | 4.5 % | 668 987 |
| Miami Heat | 3 % | 793 510 |
| Denver Nuggets | 3 % | 754 522 |
| Detroit Pistons | 2.9 % | 817 174 |
| Toronto Raptors | 2.9 % | 700 831 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.2 % | 823 982 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 1.9 % | 809 229 |
| Indiana Pacers | 1.8 % | 648 295 |
| Houston Rockets | 1.7 % | 840 619 |
| Golden State Warriors | 1.1 % | 984 529 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 0.9 % | 810 065 |
| Utah Jazz | 0.8 % | 889 306 |
| Orlando Magic | 0.8 % | 612 893 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 0.7 % | 761 806 |
| Washington Wizards | 0.6 % | 639 491 |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.6 % | 813 888 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.5 % | 732 044 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.4 % | 622 383 |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.2 % | 527 937 |
| Los Angeles Clippers | 0.2 % | 714 922 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.2 % | 619 440 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.1 % | 712 027 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.1 % | 667 917 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.1 % | 881 181 |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.1 % | 720 227 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Oklahoma City Thunder» leads at 20 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 30 outcomes and only 9 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $22 328 342 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-07-01. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules.
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