Prediction market odds on MLB World Series Champion 2026
$40 644 472 is riding on this question. «Los Angeles Dodgers» leads at 32 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 31.5 % | 486 481 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 15.3 % | 1 550 774 |
| New York Yankees | 10.5 % | 461 587 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 8.6 % | 467 430 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 5.9 % | 1 416 776 |
| Atlanta Braves | 5.5 % | 1 200 175 |
| Boston Red Sox | 4.7 % | 2 253 260 |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.3 % | 1 368 992 |
| Chicago White Sox | 2.9 % | 2 643 328 |
| Houston Astros | 2.9 % | 1 695 835 |
| San Diego Padres | 2.9 % | 1 435 753 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 2.3 % | 1 106 095 |
| Texas Rangers | 1.9 % | 1 147 585 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 1.4 % | 674 640 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.7 % | 535 539 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0.1 % | 1 927 089 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0.1 % | 426 604 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0.1 % | 1 420 394 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.1 % | 1 280 240 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0.1 % | 874 603 |
| Miami Marlins | 0.1 % | 2 052 317 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0.1 % | 2 255 834 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.1 % | 815 334 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 % | 1 749 135 |
| Athletics | 0 % | 258 730 |
| New York Mets | 0 % | 1 070 826 |
| Washington Nationals | 0 % | 2 591 470 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 % | 1 650 529 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 % | 1 643 284 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 % | 2 183 832 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Los Angeles Dodgers» leads at 32 %, but the next outcome is only 16 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 30 outcomes and only 6 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $40 644 472 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-10-31. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules on polymarket.com.
If this changes what you plan to do, check the platform's own conditions first — they vary far more than the rules do.
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