Prediction market odds on MLB World Series Champion 2026
$41 152 719 is riding on this question. «Los Angeles Dodgers» leads at 30 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | 30.5 % | 527 962 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 15.3 % | 1 575 121 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 11.3 % | 500 925 |
| New York Yankees | 8.5 % | 496 752 |
| Atlanta Braves | 5.8 % | 1 246 782 |
| San Diego Padres | 5.5 % | 1 491 461 |
| Boston Red Sox | 5.3 % | 2 288 201 |
| Chicago Cubs | 4.3 % | 1 400 753 |
| Cleveland Guardians | 4.2 % | 1 129 645 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | 4.2 % | 1 443 860 |
| Chicago White Sox | 2.8 % | 2 666 875 |
| Houston Astros | 2.5 % | 1 730 740 |
| Texas Rangers | 1.2 % | 1 177 183 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.4 % | 556 566 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0 % | 708 835 |
| Baltimore Orioles | 0 % | 1 937 921 |
| Minnesota Twins | 0 % | 426 604 |
| Detroit Tigers | 0 % | 1 420 394 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0 % | 1 280 240 |
| Seattle Mariners | 0 % | 874 603 |
| Los Angeles Angels | 0 % | 1 749 135 |
| Athletics | 0 % | 258 730 |
| New York Mets | 0 % | 1 070 826 |
| Miami Marlins | 0 % | 2 052 317 |
| Washington Nationals | 0 % | 2 591 470 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | 0 % | 2 255 834 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 % | 1 650 529 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 % | 815 339 |
| San Francisco Giants | 0 % | 1 643 284 |
| Colorado Rockies | 0 % | 2 183 832 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Los Angeles Dodgers» leads at 30 %, but the next outcome is only 15 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 30 outcomes and only 6 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $41 152 719 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-10-31. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules.
Rules are one half of the picture and terms are the other. Look at what a platform charges before you move any money.
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