Prediction market odds on MLB: Strikeouts Leader - Pitcher
$2 993 022 is riding on this question. «Gavin Williams» leads at 50 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams | 50 % | 730 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 37.1 % | 10 847 |
| Cam Schlittler | 3.6 % | 1 563 |
| Logan Webb | 1.5 % | 584 585 |
| Jesús Luzardo | 1.5 % | 3 172 |
| Dylan Cease | 1.1 % | 2 464 |
| Cristopher Sánchez | 0.5 % | 2 785 |
| Sonny Gray | 0.2 % | 1 846 |
| Logan Gilbert | 0.1 % | 34 161 |
| Kevin Gausman | 0.1 % | 929 986 |
| Garrett Crochet | 0.1 % | 614 |
| Tarik Skubal | 0.1 % | 2 034 |
| Paul Skenes | 0.1 % | 5 789 |
| Hunter Brown | 0.1 % | 34 049 |
| Freddy Peralta | 0.1 % | 697 |
| Carlos Rodón | 0.1 % | 555 863 |
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0.1 % | 549 |
| Bryan Woo | 0.1 % | 495 |
| Zack Wheeler | 0.1 % | 566 |
| Joe Ryan | 0.1 % | 610 |
| Shota Imanaga | 0.1 % | 16 411 |
| Taj Bradley | 0.1 % | 1 096 |
| José Soriano | 0.1 % | 405 |
| Reid Detmers | 0.1 % | 52 254 |
| Nolan McLean | 0.1 % | 479 |
| Max Fried | 0.1 % | 1 132 |
| Emerson Hancock | 0.1 % | 20 655 |
| Hunter Greene | 0.1 % | 30 014 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.1 % | 697 172 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Gavin Williams» leads at 50 %, but the next outcome is only 13 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 29 outcomes and only 0 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $2 993 022 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-10-16. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the most strikeouts among pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records fewer innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records the lower ERA during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:5
Quoted from the market rules.
Rules are one half of the picture and terms are the other. Look at what a platform charges before you move any money.
Look at Dexsport