Prediction market odds on EPL: 2027 Champion
$16 117 590 is riding on this question. «Arsenal» leads at 56 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 55.5 % | 914 534 |
| Team | 50 % | 0 |
| Team B | 50 % | 0 |
| Team C | 50 % | 0 |
| Another Team | 50 % | 0 |
| Manchester City | 30.5 % | 2 160 948 |
| Chelsea | 4.5 % | 814 489 |
| Liverpool | 2.6 % | 627 484 |
| Manchester United | 1.5 % | 685 205 |
| Brighton | 0.7 % | 793 204 |
| Tottenham | 0.4 % | 1 077 507 |
| Aston Villa | 0.4 % | 587 306 |
| Hull City | 0.4 % | 1 051 891 |
| Brentford | 0.2 % | 1 076 384 |
| Newcastle United | 0.2 % | 865 777 |
| Bournemouth | 0.1 % | 620 619 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.1 % | 1 033 457 |
| Everton | 0.1 % | 411 130 |
| Fulham | 0.1 % | 499 749 |
| Leeds United | 0.1 % | 444 854 |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.1 % | 670 657 |
| Sunderland | 0.1 % | 662 120 |
| Coventry City | 0.1 % | 608 607 |
| Ipswich Town | 0.1 % | 511 669 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Arsenal» leads at 56 %, but the next outcome is only 6 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 24 outcomes and only 6 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $16 117 590 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-05-30. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules on polymarket.com.
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