Prediction market odds on EPL: 2027 Champion
$18 279 187 is riding on this question. «Team» leads at 50 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Team | 50 % | 0 |
| Team B | 50 % | 0 |
| Team C | 50 % | 0 |
| Another Team | 50 % | 0 |
| Arsenal | 48.5 % | 1 006 191 |
| Manchester City | 37.5 % | 2 242 870 |
| Liverpool | 4 % | 705 842 |
| Chelsea | 2.6 % | 921 355 |
| Brighton | 1.9 % | 1 080 109 |
| Manchester United | 1.1 % | 900 906 |
| Hull City | 1.1 % | 1 166 952 |
| Brentford | 0.4 % | 1 379 636 |
| Aston Villa | 0.4 % | 624 052 |
| Tottenham | 0.4 % | 1 154 449 |
| Leeds United | 0.2 % | 1 076 309 |
| Newcastle United | 0.2 % | 882 241 |
| Bournemouth | 0.1 % | 648 996 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.1 % | 1 039 761 |
| Everton | 0.1 % | 428 991 |
| Fulham | 0.1 % | 538 830 |
| Nottingham Forest | 0.1 % | 679 575 |
| Sunderland | 0.1 % | 670 002 |
| Coventry City | 0.1 % | 614 487 |
| Ipswich Town | 0.1 % | 517 630 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Team» leads at 50 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
With 24 outcomes and only 0 % on the top three, this is an open field. Spread money usually means genuine uncertainty rather than indifference.
Some $18 279 187 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2027-06-15. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quoted from the market rules.
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