Prediction market odds on Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
$2 842 355 is riding on this question. «Conventus Stellarum» leads at 100 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Conventus Stellarum | 100 % | 716 094 |
| Team Nemesis | 100 % | 917 923 |
| Conventus Stellarum | 100 % | 0 |
| Under | 100 % | 0 |
| Under | 100 % | 0 |
| Under | 100 % | 0 |
| Under | 100 % | 0 |
| Over | 100 % | 0 |
| Over | 100 % | 0 |
| Under | 100 % | 0 |
| Under | 100 % | 5 |
| Under | 100 % | 0 |
| Over | 100 % | 2 007 |
| Team Nemesis | 100 % | 13 262 |
| Team Nemesis | 86 % | 1 193 063 |
| 3: Ends in Daytime | 50 % | 0 |
| 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50 % | 0 |
| 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50 % | 0 |
| 3: Any Player Ultra Kill | 50 % | 0 |
| 3: Any Player Rampage | 50 % | 0 |
| Team Nemesis | 50 % | 0 |
| Team Nemesis | 50 % | 0 |
| 1: Ends in Daytime | 0 % | 0 |
| 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0 % | 0 |
| 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0 % | 0 |
| 1: Any Player Ultra Kill | 0 % | 0 |
| 1: Any Player Rampage | 0 % | 0 |
| 2: Ends in Daytime | 0 % | 0 |
| 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0 % | 0 |
| 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0 % | 0 |
| 2: Any Player Ultra Kill | 0 % | 0 |
| 2: Any Player Rampage | 0 % | 0 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Conventus Stellarum» leads at 100 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
32 outcomes are priced on this event, and 57 % of the money sits on the top three. The rest of the list is cheap for a reason: few people are willing to take the other side.
Some $2 842 355 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-09-23. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Team Nemesis and Conventus Stellarum in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Nemesis" if Team Nemesis win the match against Conventus Stellarum. This market will resolve to "Conventus Stellarum" if Conventus Stellarum win the match against Team Nemesis. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves
Quoted from the market rules.
Read this alongside the terms of whichever platform you use — those terms, not this page, decide what happens to your stake.
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