Prediction market odds on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
$2 857 391 is riding on this question. «Natus Vincere» leads at 100 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 304 354 |
| MOUZ | 100 % | 506 117 |
| MOUZ | 100 % | 1 834 190 |
| Over | 100 % | 20 987 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 168 720 |
| Under | 100 % | 1 379 |
| Over | 100 % | 433 |
| Over | 100 % | 263 |
| MOUZ | 100 % | 7 792 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 593 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 12 364 |
| Under | 100 % | 10 |
| MOUZ | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Over | 100 % | 10 |
| Under | 100 % | 10 |
| MOUZ | 100 % | 20 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Over | 100 % | 10 |
| Under | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| MOUZ | 100 % | 10 |
| Under | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Under | 100 % | 10 |
| Over | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Natus Vincere | 100 % | 10 |
| Over | 50 % | 0 |
What these numbers say
Nothing is settled: «Natus Vincere» leads at 100 %, but the next outcome is only 0 points behind. On a question this close, the order of the top two can change on a single piece of news.
31 outcomes are priced on this event, and 93 % of the money sits on the top three. The rest of the list is cheap for a reason: few people are willing to take the other side.
Some $2 857 391 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-09-18. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Round 1 match between MOUZ and Natus Vincere in the StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against MOUZ. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether
Quoted from the market rules.
None of the above depends on the operator. Everything about your money does, so read their rules before you deposit.
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