Prediction market odds on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin
$2 506 731 is riding on this question. «FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18» leads at 96 %, which is a price people are paying, not a conclusion anyone has reached.
Outcomes and implied probability
| Outcome | Implied chance | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18 | 95.5 % | 1 470 172 |
| FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw | 3.6 % | 357 083 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-09-18 | 1.4 % | 840 625 |
What these numbers say
The market is not undecided here: «FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18» is priced at 96 %, and the next outcome is 92 points behind. A price that lopsided usually means the question is close to settled in traders' view — though the money is still on the table.
Some $2 506 731 is committed to this question. Money does not make a market correct, but it does make it slow to move on rumour alone.
Closing date is 2026-09-18. The closer it gets, the more the price reflects information rather than expectation.
The percentage is what traders are willing to pay, nothing more. An outcome at 70 % losing is not the market being wrong — it is the market being right about three cases in ten.
How this market settles
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, September 18, 2026 between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Union Berlin.
Quoted from the market rules.
The principle is general. The limits, fees and verification steps are not: they belong to whichever platform you sign up with.
Look at Dexsport